does. >> the fundamentals certainly could drive things, even though we've got that debt ceiling, the washington dysfunction. right now we're all about earnings. that certainly will be the near term catalyst. let's get this new information though. how about this for a prediction? a market crash coming in the third quarter of this year, and the u.s. is head for bankruptcy? >> that's how harry dent -- i was so taken aback. >> that's how harry dent of h.s. dent investment manager says happy new year and the author of "the great crash ahead, strategies for a world turned upside down." harry, come on, man. i mean, you've seen those guys on espn say come on, man. that seems a little bit over the top, doesn't it? >> how many crashes have we seen in the last ten years or so? 2000, 2002, bubble, crash. 2007, bubble, crash. we're getting a bubble and crash about every four or five years, so this is what we have when you go over a demographic cliff. remember japan? think back to japan. japan went over the demographic cliff, peak and baby boom spending, peak real estate boo. they had a bust.